Cain vs Hamels

Can’t write about Game 3 today because it hasn’t happened yet.  Everybody got a day off yesterday so they could bring the fun to San Francisco.  So let’s look at more stats!

Now that it’s a tied series, Game 3 seems like a pivotal point for both teams, so I’m glad Cain got swapped with Sanchez for third starter position.  Not that I dislike any of our starting pitchers in the slightest, but I feel like Cain is the coolest cucumber of the bunch.  Giants lose today and everything will fall on Bumgarner, which may not be fair to the rookie.  
So let’s see what Matt’s up against: Matt Cain vs Cole Hammels.
Cole Hammels
H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
Buster Posey 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 .667
Edgar Renteria 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 .667
Andres Torres 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 .333
Pablo Sandoval 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 .333
Juan Uribe 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500
Pat Burrell 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000
Aubrey Huff 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .000
Tim Lincecum 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000
Cody Ross 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333
Aaron Rowand 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000
Freddy Sanchez 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
Jonathan Sanchez 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000
Nate Schierholtz 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.000
Eli Whiteside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/19/2010.
Matt Cain
H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
Jimmy Rollins 3 0 1 1 3 0 0 1.000
Carlos Ruiz 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 .667
Chase Utley 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .333
Joe Blanton 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000
Ross Gload 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000
Raul Ibanez 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000
Placido Polanco 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000
Shane Victorino 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Jayson Werth 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .333
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/19/2010.
Summary
cainvshamels.jpg
They tie for home runs allowed, but Cain has a better RBI, bases on balls and overall batting average.  Unfortunately Hamels clearly has the better strike out count, which is my personal favorite pitching stat, as it seems like the only one they have complete control over.  Oh well, Cain still takes three out of five. 
How about just offense in general.  Seems like the deciding factor in everyone’s mind is that the Giants probably won’t make it because, while they have great pitching, their offense isn’t there.  I can see that argument, I have been following them the entire season after all. So how do they do against the Phillies offensively?
Tm R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB SO BA
PHI 772 1451 290 34 166 736 108 560 1064 .260
SFG 697 1411 284 30 162 660 55 487 1099 .257
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/19/2010.
offense.jpg
Yep.  The Phillies either tie or are better than the Giants at everything offensively, except their overall batting average, which is worse by a hair.  But speaking of hair, that chart doesn’t make the Phillies offense seem as foreboding as I was lead to believe.  Yes it’s better, but not by leaps and bounds.  They have 4 more home runs than the Giants this season.  Seems more like the Phillies base stealing and ability to generate bases on balls is what the Giants should be worrying about.  
Since I looked at the offense, let’s look at pitching, even though according to everyone it’s a wash:
Tm W-L% ERA H R HR BB SO
PHI .599 3.68 1402 640 168 416 1183
SFG .568 3.36 1279 583 134 578 1331
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/19/2010.
pitching.jpg
So how come pitching is a wash but offensive is a shoe in for the Phillies?  Seems like both sets of stats are fairly close (something I would assume is true of all post-season teams), the Giants edging out the Phillies in everything but bases on balls (damn that Sanchez!).  
Anyway, I guess I’m bias, but all I’m saying is I think this is a closer race than people are thinking (and by people, I mostly mean media).  
So let’s take Game 3 and shock the crap out of everybody.  GO GIANTS!
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